Mintos Invest & Access Seems to Have Left ‘Normal Market Conditions’ for the First Time – Leaving Some Investors Surprised

In June Mintos introduced the Invest & Access product which was designed to make it as easy as possible for investors to invest on Mintos. You can read my article about the introduction here. One main aspect offered was that it promised high liquidity, which came with the disclamer ‘you should be able to access your money anytime under normal market conditions’. Another restriction was that this applied only to current loans, so with a typical portfolio of about 20-30% lates, investors could cash out about 70-80% of the portfolio fast.

I doubt that many investors observed the “under normal market conditions” part of the offer. And those who did, probably saw it as a theoretical definition, rather than a real possibility.

Well know, 6  months later, we observe the first time Mintos Invest & Access have left the ‘Normal market conditions’ state. Investors requesting withdrawals from their Invest&Access account since Friday report they received only part of the requested amount so far (about 700 out of 2000 Euro here; and 780 out of 9800 Euro here; there are further examples known to me.). Several investors expressed surprise that they could not cash out current loans fast.
Cashouts requested up to  Thursday are reported to have been completed as expected

The cause of course is that the liquidity of Invest&Access is dependent on Mintos being able to sell the loan part of investors wanting to cash out to other investors.

On Friday around noon, the Central Bank of Kosovo announced that it had revoked the licenses of Monego and Iute Kosovo loan originators which both had loans listed on Mintos. In the afternoon many investors sold loans from those originators through the Mintos secondary market until Mintos suspended the trading of these loans around 5:04pm (CET).
Following these occurences this seems to have for the first time on Mintos created higher cashout demands than requests for investing on reinvesting on the Invest&Access product and this is why some investors are seeing partial/delayed withdrawals currently. It is unknown whether the I&A product has a buffer to soften the impact of such cases, but it seems not (or it has been depleted in this instance)

Edit to clarify: the Invest&Access product behaves as described in the small print, it is just that some investors seem to have different expectations and gauged the associated risks differently. Investing in p2p lending is a high risk investment.

I’ve contacted Mintos for comment on the current liquidity situation of I&A but have not yet received a reply.

If you are an Invest&Access investor and want to cashout, you might not be aware that you have the option to normally list the loans on the secondary market. Therefore if you want to skip the invest&access selling queue (which I assume exists), you can just list your loans. Offering 0.1% to 0.2% discount might be sufficient to sell them. I am not advocating this, just informing you that it is possible to try that.

 

International P2P Lending Volumes November 2019

The table lists the loan originations of p2p lending marketplaces for last month. Mintos leads ahead of Zopa and Ratesetter. The total volume for the reported marketplaces in the table adds up to 658 million Euro. I track the development of p2p lending volumes for many markets. Since I already have most of the data on file, I can publish statistics on the monthly loan originations for selected p2p lending platforms.

Investors living in national markets with no or limited selection of local p2p lending services can check this list of international investing on p2p lending services. Investors can also explore how to make use of current p2p lending cashback offers available. UK investors can compare IFISA rates.

p2p lending volume november 2019
Table: P2P Lending Volumes in November 2019. Source: own research

Note that volumes have been converted from local currency to Euro for the purpose of comparison. Some figures are estimates/approximations.

Links to the platforms listed in the table: Ablrate, Archover, Assetz Capital, Bondora, Bondster, Colectual, Credit.fr, Crowdproperty,  Dofinance, Estateguru, Fellow Finance, Finansowo, Finbee, Folk2Folk, Geldvoorelkaar, Growly, Grupeer, Investly, Iuvo Group, Kameo, Klear, Landbay, Landlordinvest, Lending Works, Linked Finance, Look&Fin, Mintos, MyTrippleA, Neofinance , October, Peerberry, Proplend, Ratesetter, Rebuilding Society, Savy, Smartika, Soisy, Sourced, Swaper, TFGcrowd, ThinCars, Twino, Viainvest, Viventor, Zopa.

Notice to p2p lending services not listed: Continue reading

International P2P Lending Volumes October 2019

The table lists the loan originations of p2p lending marketplaces for last month. Mintos leads ahead of Zopa and Ratesetter. The total volume for the reported marketplaces in the table adds up to 703 million Euro. I track the development of p2p lending volumes for many markets. Since I already have most of the data on file, I can publish statistics on the monthly loan originations for selected p2p lending platforms. This month I added Kameo and TFGcrowd. Fundingsecure was removed due to insolvency.

Milestones in cumulative volume lent crossed this month:

Investors living in national markets with no or limited selection of local p2p lending services can check this list of international investing on p2p lending services. Investors can also explore how to make use of current p2p lending cashback offers available. UK investors can compare IFISA rates.

p2p lending statistic october 2019
Table: P2P Lending Volumes in October 2019. Source: own research

Note that volumes have been converted from local currency to Euro for the purpose of comparison. Some figures are estimates/approximations.

Links to the platforms listed in the table: Ablrate, Archover, Assetz Capital, Bitbond, Bondora, Bondster, Colectual, Credit.fr, Crowdproperty, Debitum Network, Dofinance, Estateguru, Fellow Finance, Finansowo, Finbee, Folk2Folk, Geldvoorelkaar, Growly, Grupeer, Investly, Iuvo Group, Kameo, Klear, Landbay, Landlordinvest, Lending Works, Linked Finance, Look&Fin, Mintos, MyTrippleA, Neofinance ,October, Peerberry, Proplend, Ratesetter, Rebuilding Society, Savy, Smartika, Soisy, Sourced, Swaper, TFGcrowd, ThinCars, Twino, Viainvest, Viventor, Zopa.

Notice to p2p lending services not listed: Continue reading

International P2P Lending Volumes September 2019

The table lists the loan originations of p2p lending marketplaces for last month. Mintos leads ahead of Zopa and Ratesetter. The total volume for the reported marketplaces in the table adds up to 639 million Euro. I track the development of p2p lending volumes for many markets. Since I already have most of the data on file, I can publish statistics on the monthly loan originations for selected p2p lending platforms.

Milestones in culumulative volume lent crossed this month:

Investors living in national markets with no or limited selection of local p2p lending services can check this list of international investing on p2p lending services. Investors can also explore how to make use of current p2p lending cashback offers available. UK investors can compare IFISA rates.


Table: P2P Lending Volumes in September 2019. Source: own research

Note that volumes have been converted from local currency to Euro for the purpose of comparison. Some figures are estimates/approximations.

Notice to p2p lending services not listed: Continue reading

Estateguru Secondary Market Launch

Estateguru LogoAfter several month of waiting since the first announcement, the Estateguru secondary market will now launch. In the past weeks could participate in a closed beta test prior to the coming public launch of the market. Estateguru used this to get some feedback and to fine tune the wording (e.g. in the FAQ).

Overview of important facts about the Estateguru secondary market:

  • seller pays a 2% transaction fee
  • loans in all status can be offered, including late and in default
  • only the total loan part can be offered, it is not possible to split it and sell parts of it
  • seller can set the price at par or at premium. Discounts are not possible
  • buyer gets all repayments and interest after the sales transaction date
  • bought loans can not be resold for the next 30 days
  • each listing runs for 7 days. Unsold parts will be removed automatically

And now, without further ado, this is how the secondary market looks:

Estateguru secondary market
Fig. 1: Estateguru secondary market

On top of fig. 1 you can see the available filters. Also most columns can be used for sorting. The red highlighted loans are parts I listed for sale. I’ll now show you the steps necessary to sell a loan.

First I consented to this notice for activating the secondary market.

Secondary market activation
Fig. 2: Activating the secondary market

Then I went to my portfolio, selected the loan, I wanted to sell and clicked the “Sell” button on the right. Now I got to this screen:

Estateguru sell loan
Fig. 3: Setting the sales price

There is a slider on the upper right for the sales price. It is preset to 2% premium, to recover the sales fee. I set a higher premium here. Below the price the AROI for me (the seller) and the AROI for the buyer is shown. As the AROI is prominently featured in the market overview (see fig. 1) it is an important criteria for the buyer. And 3.56% is probably to low to achieve a sale. In fact this part did not sell in the 7 days (the other listed part #1301 did sell, see Fig 5.).

Here is the Estateguru AROI definition: ‘AROI (annualised return on investment) is an estimated annual return based on the total return on investment’.

After I clicked “Sell my claim” there is a screen for entering the password.And after that a display where Estateguru confirms that the loan is listed for sale


Fig 4.: Email I received notifying me of a successful sale of a loan

I like the overview table of the secondary market. As improvements I suggest to display the premium percentage and to allow filtering by status. Maybe that will be added in the next release. I also asked if they could add the ability to trade at discounts. The reply was that they wanted to offer an easy opportunity to sell loans and not overcomplicate the tool.

My first impression

The secondary market delivers what it aims to do: allow an early exit by selling loans. The 2% fee is relatively high, I expect that will keep the traded volume low. Sellers of late and defaulted loans will have to carefully consider the price set, as I think that with any positive news updates on the recovery status of the loan, the loan part will be bought, before the seller has a chance to read and react to the update.

 

International P2P Lending Volumes August 2019

The table lists the loan originations of p2p lending marketplaces for last month. Mintos leads ahead of Zopa and Ratesetter. The total volume for the reported marketplaces in the table adds up to 634 million Euro. I track the development of p2p lending volumes for many markets. Since I already have most of the data on file, I can publish statistics on the monthly loan originations for selected p2p lending platforms.

Milestones in culumulative volume lent crossed this month:

  • Bondora: 250M EUR
  • Fellow Finance: 500M EUR
  • Mintos: 3000M EUR
  • Thincats: 500M GBP

Investors living in national markets with no or limited selection of local p2p lending services can check this list of international investing on p2p lending services. Investors can also explore how to make use of current p2p lending cashback offers available. UK investors can compare IFISA rates.

P2P Lending Statistic 08/2019
Table: P2P Lending Volumes in August 2019. Source: own research
*The Mintos figure is a bit too low this month, as it misses the originations from the last two days.

Note that volumes have been converted from local currency to Euro for the purpose of comparison. Some figures are estimates/approximations.

Notice to p2p lending services not listed: Continue reading